Specification, Estimation, and Analysis of Macroeconometric Models

Specification, Estimation, and Analysis of Macroeconometric Models
Author: Ray C. Fair
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Total Pages: 504
Release: 1984
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780674831803

This book gives a practical, applications-oriented account of the latest techniques for estimating and analyzing large, nonlinear macroeconomic models. Ray Fair demonstrates the application of these techniques in a detailed presentation of several actual models, including his United States model, his multicountry model, Sargent's classical macroeconomic model, autoregressive and vector autoregressive models, and a small (twelve equation) linear structural model. He devotes a good deal of attention to the difficult and often neglected problem of moving from theoretical to econometric models. In addition, he provides an extensive discussion of optimal control techniques and methods for estimating and analyzing rational expectations models. A computer program that handles all the techniques in the book is available from the author, making it possible to use the techniques with little additional programming. The book presents the logic of this program. A smaller program for personal microcomputers for analysis of Fair's United States model is available from Urban Systems Research & Engineering, Inc. Anyone wanting to learn how to use large macroeconomic models, including researchers, graduate students, economic forecasters, and people in business and government both in the United States and abroad, will find this an essential guidebook.

Testing Macroeconometric Models

Testing Macroeconometric Models
Author: Ray C. Fair
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Total Pages: 462
Release: 1994
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780674875036

In this book Ray Fair expounds powerful techniques for estimating and analyzing macroeconometric models. He takes advantage of the remarkable decrease in computational costs that has occurred since the early 1980s by implementing such sophisticated techniques as stochastic simulation. Testing Macroeconometric Models also incorporates the assumption of rational expectations in the estimation, solution, and testing of the models. And it presents the latest versions of Fair's models of the economies of the United States and other countries. After estimating and testing the U.S. model, Fair analyzes its properties, including those relevant to economic policymakers: the optimal monetary policy instrument, the effect of a government spending reduction on the government deficit, whether monetary policy is becoming less effective over time, and the sensitivity of policy effects to the assumption of rational expectations. Ray Fair has conducted research on structural macroeconometric models for more than twenty years. With interest increasing in the area, this book will be an essential reference for macroeconomists.

Dynamic Econometrics For Empirical Macroeconomic Modelling

Dynamic Econometrics For Empirical Macroeconomic Modelling
Author: Ragnar Nymoen
Publisher: World Scientific
Total Pages: 586
Release: 2019-07-09
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9811207534

For Masters and PhD students in EconomicsIn this textbook, the duality between the equilibrium concept used in dynamic economic theory and the stationarity of economic variables is explained and used in the presentation of single equations models and system of equations such as VARs, recursive models and simultaneous equations models.The book also contains chapters on: exogeneity, in the context of estimation, policy analysis and forecasting; automatic (computer based) variable selection, and how it can aid in the specification of an empirical macroeconomic model; and finally, on a common framework for model-based economic forecasting.Supplementary materials and notes are available on the publisher's website.

Estimating How the Macroeconomy Works

Estimating How the Macroeconomy Works
Author: Ray C. FAIR
Publisher: Harvard University Press
Total Pages: 314
Release: 2009-06-30
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0674036638

Macroeconomics tries to describe and explain the economywide movement of prices, output, and unemployment. The field has been sharply divided among various schools, including Keynesian, monetarist, new classical, and others. It has also been split between theorists and empiricists. Ray Fair is a resolute empiricist, developing and refining methods for testing theories and models. The field cannot advance without the discipline of testing how well the models approximate the data. Using a multicountry econometric model, he examines several important questions, including what causes inflation, how monetary authorities behave and what are their stabilization limits, how large is the wealth effect on aggregate consumption, whether European monetary policy has been too restrictive, and how large are the stabilization costs to Europe of adopting the euro. He finds, among other things, little evidence for the rational expectations hypothesis and for the so-called non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment (NAIRU) hypothesis. He also shows that the U.S. economy in the last half of the 1990s was not a new age economy.

Macroeconometric Models

Macroeconometric Models
Author: Władysław Welfe
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 435
Release: 2013-02-15
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 3642344682

This book gives a comprehensive description of macroeconometric modeling and its development over time. The first part depicts the history of macroeconometric model building, starting with Jan Tinbergen's and Lawrence R. Klein's contributions. It is unique in summarizing the development and specific structure of macroeconometric models built in North America, Europe, and various other parts of the world. The work thus offers an extensive source for researchers in the field. The second part of the book covers the systematic characteristics of macroeconometric models. It includes the household and enterprise sectors, disequilibria, financial flows, and money market sectors.

The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Modelling

The Econometrics of Macroeconomic Modelling
Author: Gunnar Bårdsen
Publisher: Oxford University Press, USA
Total Pages: 361
Release: 2005
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0199246491

This work describes how the discipline has adapted to changing demands by adopting new insights from economic theory and by taking advantage of the methodological and conceptual advances within time series econometrics.

DSGE Models in Macroeconomics

DSGE Models in Macroeconomics
Author: Nathan Balke
Publisher: Emerald Group Publishing
Total Pages: 480
Release: 2012-11-29
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1781903069

This volume of Advances in Econometrics contains articles that examine key topics in the modeling and estimation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models. Because DSGE models combine micro- and macroeconomic theory with formal econometric modeling and inference, over the past decade they have become an established framework for analy

Evaluation of Econometric Models

Evaluation of Econometric Models
Author: Jan Kmenta
Publisher: Academic Press
Total Pages: 425
Release: 2014-05-10
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1483267342

Evaluation of Econometric Models presents approaches to assessing and enhancing the progress of applied economic research. This book discusses the problems and issues in evaluating econometric models, use of exploratory methods in economic analysis, and model construction and evaluation when theoretical knowledge is scarce. The data analysis by partial least squares, prediction analysis of economic models, and aggregation and disaggregation of nonlinear equations are also elaborated. This text likewise covers the comparison of econometric models by optimal control techniques, role of time series analysis in econometric model evaluation, and hypothesis testing in spectral regression. Other topics include the relevance of laboratory experiments to testing resource allocation theory and token economy and animal models for the experimental analysis of economic behavior. This publication is intended for students and researchers interested in evaluating econometric models.

Computational Econometrics

Computational Econometrics
Author: Charles G. Renfro
Publisher: IOS Press
Total Pages: 420
Release: 2004
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9781586034269

This publication contains a substantial amount of detail about the broad history of the development of econometric software based on the personal recollections of many people. For economists, the computer has increasingly become the primary applied research tool, and it is software that makes the computer work.