Theory and Credibility

Theory and Credibility
Author: Scott Ashworth
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 280
Release: 2021-07-20
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0691215006

A clear and comprehensive framework for bridging the widening gap between theorists and empiricists in social science The credibility revolution, with its emphasis on empirical methods for causal inference, has led to concerns among scholars that the canonical questions about politics and society are being neglected because they are no longer deemed answerable. Theory and Credibility stakes out an opposing view—presenting a new vision of how, working together, the credibility revolution and formal theory can advance social scientific inquiry. This authoritative book covers the conceptual foundations and practicalities of both model building and research design, providing a new framework to link theory and empirics. Drawing on diverse examples from political science, it presents a typology of the rich set of interactions that are possible between theory and empirics. This typology opens up new ways for scholars to make progress on substantive questions, and enables researchers from disparate traditions to gain a deeper appreciation for each other's work and why it matters. Theory and Credibility shows theorists how to create models that are genuinely useful to empirical inquiry, and helps empiricists better understand how to structure their research in ways that speak to theoretically meaningful questions.

A Course in Credibility Theory and its Applications

A Course in Credibility Theory and its Applications
Author: Hans Bühlmann
Publisher: Springer Science & Business Media
Total Pages: 346
Release: 2005-11-13
Genre: Mathematics
ISBN: 354029273X

This book is ideal for practicing experts in particular actuaries in the field of property-casualty insurance, life insurance, reinsurance and insurance supervision, as well as teachers and students. It provides an exploration of Credibility Theory, covering most aspects of this topic from the simplest case to the most detailed dynamic model. The book closely examines the tasks an actuary encounters daily: estimation of loss ratios, claim frequencies and claim sizes.

Theory and Credibility

Theory and Credibility
Author: Scott Ashworth
Publisher: Princeton University Press
Total Pages: 280
Release: 2021-07-20
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0691213828

Ashworth et al address this key challenge in the field with a new vision of how to connect empirical and theoretical work, one rooted in the idea of "all else equal." Theory, the authors argue, implicitly rests of the idea of "all-else-equal," and it's precisely this question that empirical work attempts to confirm. Thus theory and empirics have an intrinsic connection, and in recognizing this scholars can bridge the gap between the two. The first part of the book examines the "all-else-equal" connection and goes on to show how how theoretical models yield empirical implications and how substantive identification is the lynch-pin of a credible research design. The second part then follows the progressive back-and-forth between theory and empirics in existing scholarship, breaking these interactions into five types: reinterpreting, elaboration, distinguishing, disentangling, and modeling the research design. .

Calculating Credibility

Calculating Credibility
Author: Daryl G. Press
Publisher: Cornell University Press
Total Pages: 244
Release: 2007
Genre: History
ISBN: 9780801474156

"Daryl G. Press uses historical evidence to answer two crucial questions: When a country backs down in a crisis, does its credibility suffer? How do leaders assess their adversaries' credibility? Press illuminates the decision-making processes behind events such as the crises in Europe that preceded World War II, the superpower showdowns over Berlin in the 1950s and 60s, and the Cuban Missile Crisis."--Page 4 of cover.

The Scientific Credibility of Freud's Theories and Therapy

The Scientific Credibility of Freud's Theories and Therapy
Author: Seymour Fisher
Publisher: Columbia University Press
Total Pages: 516
Release: 1985
Genre: Psychology
ISBN: 9780231062152

This book explores the puzzling phenomenon of new veiling practices among lower middle class women in Cairo, Egypt. Although these women are part of a modernizing middle class, they also voluntarily adopt a traditional symbol of female subordination. How can this paradox be explained? An explanation emerges which reconceptualizes what appears to be reactionary behavior as a new style of political struggle--as accommodating protest. These women, most of them clerical workers in the large government bureaucracy, are ambivalent about working outside the home, considering it a change which brings new burdens as well as some important benefits. At the same time they realize that leaving home and family is creating an intolerable situation of the erosion of their social status and the loss of their traditional identity. The new veiling expresses women's protest against this. MacLeod argues that the symbolism of the new veiling emerges from this tense subcultural dilemma, involving elements of both resistance and acquiescence.

Nuclear Deterrence Theory

Nuclear Deterrence Theory
Author: Robert Powell
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Total Pages: 248
Release: 1990-03-30
Genre: History
ISBN: 9780521375276

Applying advances in game theory to the study of nuclear deterrence, Robert Powell examines the foundations of deterrence theory. Game-theoretic analysis allows the author to explore some of the most complex and problematic issues in deterrence theory, including the effects of first-strike advantages, limited retaliation, and the number of nuclear powers in the international system on the dynamics of escalation.

Introduction to Credibility Theory

Introduction to Credibility Theory
Author: Thomas N. Herzog
Publisher:
Total Pages: 337
Release: 2010-01-01
Genre: Credibility theory (Insurance)
ISBN: 9781566987646

This text has been named as an approved reference in preparing for the SOA Exam C and the CAS Exam 4. Several chapters have been adopted as syllabus references for the SOA Group and Health specialty Design and Pricing Fellowship exam. Credibility modeling is a proven approach for analyzing unique product designs. This text presents a wide variety of credibility models in an easy-to-read style, and in so doing, traces the historical development of the subject. The Bayesian approach to credibility is emphasized. The text concentrates on basic statistical concepts, leaving more sophisticated theoretical concepts for a more advanced treatment elsewhere. It contains worked examples, a large number of end-of-chapter exercises and an extensive bibliography. Practical applications of credibility theory are presented in the Appendices. In the rapidly evolving healthcare environment, data credibility is more important than ever. The Fourth Edition of this text includes three case studies relating to healthcare issues. A separate solutions manual for the text exercises is also available.

Central Bank Strategy, Credibility, and Independence

Central Bank Strategy, Credibility, and Independence
Author: Alex Cukierman
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 532
Release: 1992
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 9780262031981

This book brings together a large body of Cukierman's research and integrates it with recent developments in the political economy of monetary policy.

Digital Media, Youth, and Credibility

Digital Media, Youth, and Credibility
Author: Miriam J. Metzger
Publisher: MIT Press
Total Pages: 212
Release: 2008
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 0262562324

The difficulties in determining the quality of information on the Internet--in particular, the implications of wide access and questionable credibility for youth and learning. Today we have access to an almost inconceivably vast amount of information, from sources that are increasingly portable, accessible, and interactive. The Internet and the explosion of digital media content have made more information available from more sources to more people than at any other time in human history. This brings an infinite number of opportunities for learning, social connection, and entertainment. But at the same time, the origin of information, its quality, and its veracity are often difficult to assess. This volume addresses the issue of credibility--the objective and subjective components that make information believable--in the contemporary media environment. The contributors look particularly at youth audiences and experiences, considering the implications of wide access and the questionable credibility of information for youth and learning. They discuss such topics as the credibility of health information online, how to teach credibility assessment, and public policy solutions. Much research has been done on credibility and new media, but little of it focuses on users younger than college students. Digital Media, Youth, and Credibility fills this gap in the literature. Contributors Matthew S. Eastin, Gunther Eysenbach, Brian Hilligoss, Frances Jacobson Harris, R. David Lankes, Soo Young Rieh, S. Shyam Sundar, Fred W. Weingarten