What the Luck?

What the Luck?
Author: Gary Smith
Publisher: Abrams
Total Pages: 186
Release: 2016-10-04
Genre: Social Science
ISBN: 1468313916

In Israel, pilot trainees who were praised for doing well subsequently performed worse, while trainees who were yelled at for doing poorly performed better. It is an empirical fact that highly intelligent women tend to marry men who are less intelligent. Students who get the highest scores in third grade generally get lower scores in fourth grade.And yet, it's wrong to conclude that screaming is not more effective in pilot training, women choose men whose intelligence does not intimidate them, or schools are failing third graders. In fact, there's one reason for each of these empirical facts: Statistics. Specifically, a statical concept called Regression to the Mean.Regression to the mean seeks to explain, with statistics, the role of luck in our day to day lives. An insufficient appreciation of luck and chance can wreak all kinds of mischief in sports, education, medicine, business, politics, and more. It can lead us to see illness when we are not sick and to see cures when treatments are worthless. Perfectly natural random variation can lead us to attach meaning to the meaningless.Freakonomics showed how economic calculations can explain seemingly counterintuitive decision-making. Thinking, Fast and Slow, helped readers identify a host of small cognitive errors that can lead to miscalculations and irrational thought. In What the Luck?, statistician and author Gary Smith sets himself a similar goal, and explains--in clear, understandable, and witty prose--how a statistical understanding of luck can change the way we see just about every aspect of our lives...and can help us learn to rely less on random chance, and more on truth.

How Luck Happens

How Luck Happens
Author: Janice Kaplan
Publisher: Penguin
Total Pages: 354
Release: 2018-03-06
Genre: Self-Help
ISBN: 1101986395

Creator and host of the podcast The Gratitude Diaries and New York Times bestselling author Janice Kaplan examines the phenomenon of luck--and discovers the exciting ways you can grab opportunities and make luck for yourself every day. After spending a year researching and experiencing gratitude for The Gratitude Diaries, Janice Kaplan is back to tackle another big, mysterious influence in all our lives: luck. And this time she's joined on her journey by coauthor Dr. Barnaby Marsh, a renowned academic who guides her exploration. Together they uncover the unexpected, little-understood science behind what we call "luck," proving that many seemingly random events are actually under your--and everyone's--control. They examine the factors that made stars like Harrison Ford and Jonathan Groff so successful, and learn the real secrets that made Kate Spade and Warby Parker into global brands. Using original research, fascinating studies, and engaging interviews, Kaplan and Marsh reveal the simple techniques to create luck in love and marriage, business and career, and health, happiness, and family relationships. Their breakthrough insights prove that all of us--from CEOs to stay-at-home moms--can tip the scales of fortune in our favor. Through a mix of scientific research, conversations with famous and successful people--from academics like Dan Ariely and Leonard Mlodinow to actor Josh Groban--and powerful narrative, How Luck Happens uncovers a fascinating subject in accessible and entertaining style.

The Luck of the Buttons

The Luck of the Buttons
Author: Anne Ylvisaker
Publisher: Candlewick Press
Total Pages: 234
Release: 2011-04-12
Genre: Juvenile Fiction
ISBN: 0763654612

In Iowa circa 1929, spunky twelve-year-old Tugs vows to turn her family’s luck around, with the help of a Brownie camera and a small-town mystery. (Ages 8-12) Tugs Esther Button was born to a luckless family. Buttons don’t presume to be singers or dancers. They aren’t athletes or artists, good listeners, or model citizens. The one time a Button ever made the late Goodhue Gazette - before Harvey Moore came along with his talk of launching a new paper - was when Great Grandaddy Ike accidentally set Town Hall ablaze. Tomboy Tugs looks at her hapless family and sees her own reflection looking back until she befriends popular Aggie Millhouse, wins a new camera in the Independence Day raffle, and stumbles into a mystery only she can solve. Suddenly this is a summer of change - and by its end, being a Button may just turn out to be what one clumsy, funny, spirited, and very observant young heroine decides to make of it.

The Success Equation

The Success Equation
Author: Michael J. Mauboussin
Publisher: Harvard Business Review Press
Total Pages: 312
Release: 2012-10-16
Genre: Business & Economics
ISBN: 1422184242

“Much of what we experience in life results from a combination of skill and luck.” — From the Introduction The trick, of course, is figuring out just how many of our successes (and failures) can be attributed to each—and how we can learn to tell the difference ahead of time. In most domains of life, skill and luck seem hopelessly entangled. Different levels of skill and varying degrees of good and bad luck are the realities that shape our lives—yet few of us are adept at accurately distinguishing between the two. Imagine what we could accomplish if we were able to tease out these two threads, examine them, and use the resulting knowledge to make better decisions. In this provocative book, Michael Mauboussin helps to untangle these intricate strands to offer the structure needed to analyze the relative importance of skill and luck. He offers concrete suggestions for making these insights work to your advantage. Once we understand the extent to which skill and luck contribute to our achievements, we can learn to deal with them in making decisions. The Success Equation helps us move toward this goal by: • Establishing a foundation so we better understand skill and luck, and can pinpoint where each is most relevant • Helping us develop the analytical tools necessary to understand skill and luck • Offering concrete suggestions about how to take these findings and put them to work Showcasing Mauboussin’s trademark wit, insight, and analytical genius, The Success Equation is a must-read for anyone seeking to make better decisions—in business and in life.

The Cruelty of Free Will

The Cruelty of Free Will
Author: Richard Oerton
Publisher: Troubador Publishing Ltd
Total Pages: 155
Release: 2018-11-08
Genre: Philosophy
ISBN: 1785897705

Following on from the success of The Nonsense of Free Will, The Cruelty of Free Will takes up where the earlier book left off. It sets to answer two questions - why - and how - does free will belief persist so stubbornly?

Linguistic Luck

Linguistic Luck
Author: Abrol Fairweather
Publisher: Oxford University Press
Total Pages: 340
Release: 2023-05-23
Genre: Philosophy
ISBN: 0192660152

Despite the considerable attention the topic of luck has received in ethics and epistemology, very little has been published in the philosophical literature overtly on linguistic luck. The essays collected here provide the first sustained examination of the diverse forms of linguistic luck, the mechanisms available to reduce the impact of linguistic luck and how to cope with residual luck not eliminated by the causal, inferential, and intentional mechanisms which aim at its eradication. Of primary interest is not some, hitherto unnoticed widespread prevalence of luck in the determinants of meaning and communication, but rather the impressive extent to which luck is reduced or eliminated therein. Whether through casual, inferential or intentional means, the determinants of meaning and communication are impressively independent of luck and chance. In fact, it is difficult to imagine a world with human language where efforts to communicate succeed no better than chance. Linguistic communication is only possible because robust luck reducing variables are at work. The essays collected seek to understand the diversity, scope and mode of operation of luck reducing mechanisms in language. While it is not possible here to cover the full range of linguistic phenomena affected by luck, a wide range of issues in linguistics and philosophy of language are investigated, including, syntax processing, demonstrative reference, conversational implicature, testimony, lexical innovation, joint attention, communicative value, conventionalism vs. anti-conventionalism, metasemantic safety, and semantic skepticism, to name a few.

Tom Sawyer's Luck: Tom & Huck (Super Science Showcase Stories #5)

Tom Sawyer's Luck: Tom & Huck (Super Science Showcase Stories #5)
Author: Lee Fanning
Publisher: Wonder Mill Cosmos
Total Pages: 41
Release: 2023-12-11
Genre: Juvenile Fiction
ISBN: 1958721425

Tom Sawyer & Huckleberry Finn are in Arkansas when they learn of a local legend-a mythical wild pig that's the size of a calf known as "Haggard Hoofs." Tom brashly claims he and Huck can catch this legendary swine and makes a large bet with a local townsman. But Huck knows it's a bad bet-because he knows "Haggard Hoofs" doesn't actually exist! Has Tom Sawyer finally bet off more than he can chew? This exciting adventure also includes real science facts and a bonus activities section! Super Science Showcase. Smart Adventures for Smart Kids.

Luck Egalitarianism

Luck Egalitarianism
Author: Carl Knight
Publisher: Edinburgh University Press
Total Pages: 256
Release: 2009-07-10
Genre: Political Science
ISBN: 0748641378

How should we decide which inequalities between people are justified, and which are unjustified?One answer is that such inequalities are only justified where there is a corresponding variation in responsible action or choice on the part of the persons concerned. This view, which has become known as 'luck egalitarianism', has come to occupy a central place in recent debates about distributive justice. This book is the first full length treatment of this significant development in contemporary political philosophy.Each of its three parts addresses a key question concerning the theory. Which version of luck egalitarian comes closest to realizing luck egalitarian objectives? Does luck egalitarianism succeed as a view of egalitarian justice? And is it sound as an account of distributive justice in general?The book provides a distinctive answer to each of these questions, along the way engaging with the leading theorists identified in the literature as luck egalitarians, such as Richard Arneson, G. A. Cohen, and Ronald Dworkin, as well as the most influential critics, including Elizabeth Anderson, Marc Fleurbaey, Susan Hurley, Samuel Scheffler, and Jonathan Wolff.Key Features*Presents a critical survey of already classic debates about responsibility, equality and justice*Provides a sustained engagement with luck egalitarianism's critics*Stakes a distinctive position on the key questions regarding luck egalitarianism

Mall Out of Luck

Mall Out of Luck
Author: Sarah Robinson
Publisher: Books by Sarah Robinson
Total Pages: 89
Release: 2022-03-11
Genre: Fiction
ISBN:

The end of the rainbow never looked so golden as in this standalone St. Patrick’s Day themed quick and queer novella meant to leave the reader feeling so darn lucky. Saoirse (pronounced Sur-Sha) Walsh hails from a town of less than five hundred people in Nebraska—and she’s already left three of them at the altar. Now she’s moved to Michigan to start over as a business woman and tonight’s the opening of her bar—The Lucky Leprechaun—and, as luck would have it, it’s also St. Patrick’s Day so it’s not surprising when she finds herself charmed by one of the patrons at the bar. Nell James believes that everyone makes their own luck, and she has no time for shenanigans. As a brilliant scientist and former foster child with a pet snake and a rooster-themed kitchen, she’s as rare as a four-leaf clover in the small Michigan town. But when she meets Saoirse and finds themselves tumbling into some unlucky shenanigans, Nell begins to realize that she just may have found her perfect match in the woman she meets at the end of the rainbow. A sweet and sexy lesbian short story about two women falling in love at the mall.